Jacksonville Jaguars Fan Forums

Welp, I'm in Cape Coral and the eye is slowly moving right over us with the latest updates.

Irma at landfall will be like a 40 mile wide EF-3/EF-4 tornado. With tornados within the vortex.

Welp, I not cancelling my hotel in Alabama just yet

(09-08-2017, 09:46 AM)David4499 Wrote: [ -> ]Run, Run, Run for your lives.. Flee!!!!!

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(09-08-2017, 06:41 AM)mvannostran Wrote: [ -> ]While a shift further West might be good for Jax, it's essentially a death sentence for Tampa

Anything that goes west of Jax is really really bad for Jacksonville.... If you know anything about hurricanes... you don't want to be on the east side.

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Exactly.  If the storm tracks to the west of Jax we're in the north eastern quadrant of the storm where the bulk of the tornado activity is prevalent.  

Tampa is already evacuating the low lying areas in the bay area and along the coast.  I wouldn't categorize what they're facing right now as a death sentence.  South Florida is going to take the brunt of the storm.

Right now, the 11 AM model has the storm moving more to the west of us as a Cat 1.  We really don't want to see that happen.  Hopefully the turn will be more significant than they're expecting.

(09-08-2017, 06:41 AM)mvannostran Wrote: [ -> ]While a shift further West might be good for Jax, it's essentially a death sentence for Tampa

Not really. A death sentence for Tampa would be this storm at it's current strength making landfall directly from the Gulf with the right side of the storm coming up the bay. On it's current projected path, the storm will be significantly weakened and will remain east of Tampa. Conditions would be bad, but Tampa would remain relatively safe.

I have parents and a sibling/nieces in Fort Myers.

They are staying, and I'm definitely concerned for them. They are in relatively newly-built structures rated for hurricane force winds and they've fared well in prior storms with 90mph winds, but this one looks like it'll hit them with winds well over 100mph.

Hoping everything holds up for them:/

I think it's not going to be bad for Jacksonville. First Coast News is saying, as of now, if nothing changes, the max wind speeds will be 70. That's a mess, and some damage, some trees down and power outages, but that's not catastrophic.

I'm just hoping Matthew cleared out some of the old dead trees so maybe not too many will fall this time.

While "death sentence" may have been a bit dramatic, I think a lot of people are over estimating how well Tampa can handle a storm like this. Especially considering the track just shifted even further West. I'm interested to see the next Euro model which should come around 230/3

News4Jax put this up on their website. 

Evacuations, shelters and city services that will or won't be available starting this weekend.

Could I buy an E Pat?

8-12 foot storm surge for Ft Myers. It's now tracking very badly for the Ft Myers/Naples area

I hope those people have been preparing all week like the rest of the state!!

(09-08-2017, 05:46 PM)Bchbunnie4 Wrote: [ -> ]I hope those people have been preparing all week like the rest of the state!!

I know a few who haven't even bothered to board up their windows and a couple others who said they'll wait for it to hit Miami before deciding to leave...

(09-08-2017, 12:47 PM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]I think it's not going to be bad for Jacksonville.  First Coast News is saying, as of now, if nothing changes, the max wind speeds will be 70.   That's a mess, and some damage, some trees down and power outages, but that's not catastrophic.  

I'm just hoping Matthew cleared out some of the old dead trees so maybe not too many will fall this time.

Make no mistake this is going to be a bad one, including Jax.  With that said, I'd prefer a cat 1 over the cat 4 or 5 that south Florida is going to face.  Expect some tornado activity and high winds.  The good news (for us) is that storm surge may be manageable and local flooding will be less than it might have been.  The old adage is hide from wind, run from water.

(09-03-2017, 06:54 AM)Jags02 Wrote: [ -> ]I'm shocked there's not a thread about this already. They're saying it could become a category six wiping entire cities off the map, and Jacksonville could be in its path.

BTW, there's no such thing as a category six.

(09-08-2017, 01:07 PM)mvannostran Wrote: [ -> ]While "death sentence" may have been a bit dramatic, I think a lot of people are over estimating how well Tampa can handle a storm like this. Especially considering the track just shifted even further West. I'm interested to see the next Euro model which should come around 230/3

Tampa perhaps but St Pete has the largest county population in the country which is dominated by trailer parks.  This will be devastaing

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(09-08-2017, 12:47 PM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]I think it's not going to be bad for Jacksonville.  First Coast News is saying, as of now, if nothing changes, the max wind speeds will be 70.   That's a mess, and some damage, some trees down and power outages, but that's not catastrophic.  

I'm just hoping Matthew cleared out some of the old dead trees so maybe not too many will fall this time.

Getting better by the hour.  Even that 70 mph is a much tighter 5 hour window versus the 80mph sustained winds for 9 hours which was originally forecasted yesterday am --- Here in PVB we're slated for 90mph between 1am-7am on Monday via Weather Underground hourly forecast.

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https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us...32082?mr=1

I'm in Pensacola, it's slowly creeping toward the West

(09-08-2017, 05:28 PM)mvannostran Wrote: [ -> ]8-12 foot storm surge for Ft Myers. It's now tracking very badly for the Ft Myers/Naples area

We finally decided it was too risky to stay after the 5pm update. Left about 7pm. Windows all boarded and ready for when we get back to hopefully a house.

Interesting image comparing the size of Andrew as compared to Irma: